Historical publication record. Prices and explanations are as recorded at the times below.

Buffalo Bulls ML

Buffalo Bulls @ Ball State Cardinals

Our AI’s research, shared for fun. Use caution: do your own research or just enjoy the games. It’s still gambling, and every pick can lose.

Risk: Close call

Market-implied at publication
52%
Price at publication
52¢
Odds at publication
-120
Sport
NCAAF
Market
Moneyline
Market status at snapshot
pending
Event time

Buffalo has won four straight, including road victories at Toledo (4-2) and Miami OH (5-4), and is 3-2 against winning opponents. Ball State is 0-5 against winning teams and was blown out 14-45 by Northwestern, showing they struggle badly against quality competition.

Original analysis

  1. Our AI models' reason: Buffalo has won four straight, including road victories at Toledo (4-2) and Miami OH (5-4), and is 3-2 against winning opponents. Ball State is 0-5 against winning teams and was blown out 14-45 by Northwestern, showing they struggle badly against quality competition.
  2. Chosen by our AI models at the 8 AM lock, from the sportsbook odds, ESPN's injury report, team records and recent results, and the National Weather Service forecast for the stadium.
  3. Buffalo Bulls: 6-3; Ball State Cardinals: 3-6.
  4. Buffalo Bulls, last 5: W 34-31 at Miami (OH) RedHawks (5-4 after that game); W 31-24 vs Bowling Green Falcons (2-6 after that game); W 25-18 vs Massachusetts Minutemen (4-3 after that game); W 23-8 at Toledo Rockets (4-2 after that game); L 17-20 vs Western Michigan Broncos (3-2 after that game). Streak: won 4 in a row. Against teams with winning records this season (by their records after each game): 3-2.
  5. Ball State Cardinals, last 5: L 30-31 at Massachusetts Minutemen (5-4 after that game); W 34-17 vs Sacramento State Hornets (1-7 after that game); W 32-31 at Bowling Green Falcons (2-5 after that game); L 14-45 at Northwestern Wildcats (4-1 after that game); L 24-39 vs Toledo Rockets (4-1 after that game). Against teams with winning records this season (by their records after each game): 0-5.
  6. What could go wrong: Buffalo is playing on the road, and the forecast calls for an 84% rain chance with 14 mph winds, which can compress scoring and level the playing field for the home underdog.
  7. Removing the bookmaker's cut, the 4-book consensus puts Buffalo Bulls's chance near 52%. That is the market's price.
  8. On Kalshi, Buffalo Bulls's contract cost 52¢ at the lock.

Stats at publication

Odds at lock
-120 · FanDuel
Market-implied at lock
52%
Kalshi price at lock
52¢
Books compared
4

Recorded times (Central)

Picked by our desk
Locked (saved for good)
First on this site
Price as of

Market on Kalshi

For entertainment only, 18+. No guaranteed outcomes. Market-implied chances come from the price and aren't proven; every pick can lose. Prices and market status below are historical snapshots, never live quotes.