Denver Broncos ML
Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers
Our AI’s research, shared for fun. Use caution: do your own research or just enjoy the games. It’s still gambling, and every pick can lose.
Risk: Close call
- Market-implied at publication
- 57%
- Price at publication
- 58¢
- Odds at publication
- -142
- Sport
- NFL
- Market
- Moneyline
- Market status at snapshot
- settled
- Recorded outcome
- won
- Event time
Bo Nix is active and just threw for 222 yards and two touchdowns in a 28-24 win over Kansas City. Carolina is 0-3 against winning teams and will be without linebackers Jaelan Phillips and Bobby Okereke plus cornerback Will Lee III, weakening a defense that already gave up 27 to Green Bay last week.
Correction, : The "record against winning teams" numbers counted each opponent by its record after that game was played. By opponents' current records, Carolina is 1-3 against winning teams (not 0-3) and Denver is 2-2 (not 1-2). The pick and price are unchanged. The original analysis below is left as published.
Original analysis
- Our AI models' reason: Bo Nix is active and just threw for 222 yards and two touchdowns in a 28-24 win over Kansas City. Carolina is 0-3 against winning teams and will be without linebackers Jaelan Phillips and Bobby Okereke plus cornerback Will Lee III, weakening a defense that already gave up 27 to Green Bay last week.
- Chosen by our AI models at the 8 AM lock, from the sportsbook odds, ESPN's injury report, team records and recent results, and the National Weather Service forecast for the stadium.
- Denver Broncos: 6-2; Carolina Panthers: 3-4.
- Denver Broncos, last 5: W 28-24 vs Kansas City Chiefs (5-2 at the time); W 30-16 at Arizona Cardinals (2-5 at the time); W 17-14 vs Seattle Seahawks (3-3 at the time); W 23-17 at Los Angeles Chargers (0-5 at the time); L 14-24 at San Francisco 49ers (4-0 at the time). Against teams with winning records this season: 1-2.
- Carolina Panthers, last 5: L 19-27 at Green Bay Packers (5-3 at the time); L 13-43 vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-5 at the time); W 25-14 at Philadelphia Eagles (2-4 at the time); W 32-26 vs Detroit Lions (2-2 at the time); L 18-21 at Cleveland Browns (2-1 at the time). Against teams with winning records this season: 0-3.
- What could go wrong: Denver is on the road and missing cornerback Kris Abrams-Draine and safety Brandon Jones, with safety Talanoa Hufanga also questionable.
- Removing the bookmaker's cut, the 4-book consensus puts Denver Broncos's chance near 57%. That is the market's price.
- On Kalshi, Denver Broncos's contract cost 58¢ at the lock.
Stats at publication
- Odds at lock
- -142 · DraftKings
- Market-implied at lock
- 57%
- Kalshi price at lock
- 58¢
- Books compared
- 4
Recorded times (Central)
- Picked by our desk
- Locked (saved for good)
- First on this site
- Price as of