Charlotte Hornets ML
Charlotte Hornets @ Washington Wizards
Risk: Close call
- AI estimate
- 58%
- Market-implied at publication
- 48%
- Price at publication
- 49¢
- Odds at publication
- +100
- Edge after fee
- +7.3 pts
- Sport
- NBA
- Market
- Moneyline
- Market status at snapshot
- pending
- Event time
Charlotte is 3-2 and has been winning even with several guards sidelined, while Washington is just 2-3 and also missing key rotation players like Champagnie and Watkins. The market is treating Charlotte as a slight underdog despite their better record and the Wizards' own injury issues.
Original analysis
- Our AI models' reason: Charlotte is 3-2 and has been winning even with several guards sidelined, while Washington is just 2-3 and also missing key rotation players like Champagnie and Watkins. The market is treating Charlotte as a slight underdog despite their better record and the Wizards' own injury issues.
- Chosen by our AI models at the 8 AM lock, from the sportsbook odds, ESPN's injury report and team records.
- Charlotte Hornets: 3-2; Washington Wizards: 2-3.
- Removing the bookmaker's cut, the consensus puts Charlotte Hornets's chance near 48%. That is the market's price.
- On Kalshi, Charlotte Hornets's contract cost 49¢ at the lock; the edge below uses that price.
- Our AI's estimate: 58%. Price: 49¢ plus about 1.8¢ Kalshi fee. Edge: +7.3 points. Each $1 contract costs about 50.8¢ and pays 49.3¢ profit if right. The estimate is our AI's, not a proven chance.
Stats at publication
- Odds at lock
- +100 · DraftKings
- Market-implied at lock
- 48%
- Kalshi price at lock
- 49¢
- Our AI's estimate
- 58%
- Edge after Kalshi fee
- +7.3 pts
- Books compared
- 1
Recorded times (Central)
- Picked by our desk
- Locked (saved for good)
- First on this site
- Price as of