Milwaukee Bucks ML
Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks
Risk: Close call
- AI estimate
- 46%
- Market-implied at publication
- 40%
- Price at publication
- 39¢
- Odds at publication
- +140
- Edge after fee
- +5.3 pts
- Sport
- NBA
- Market
- Moneyline
- Market status at snapshot
- pending
- Event time
The Pacers are playing the second game in two nights and are likely without starting center Ivica Zubac (sprained ankle, day-to-day), plus guards McConnell, Sheppard and Furphy are out. The Bucks are rested at home and healthy, and the price underrates them despite their 0-3 start.
Original analysis
- Our AI models' reason: The Pacers are playing the second game in two nights and are likely without starting center Ivica Zubac (sprained ankle, day-to-day), plus guards McConnell, Sheppard and Furphy are out. The Bucks are rested at home and healthy, and the price underrates them despite their 0-3 start.
- Chosen by our AI models at the 8 AM lock, from the sportsbook odds, ESPN's injury report and team records.
- Milwaukee Bucks: 0-3; Indiana Pacers: 2-1.
- Removing the bookmaker's cut, the consensus puts Milwaukee Bucks's chance near 40%. That is the market's price.
- On Kalshi, Milwaukee Bucks's contract cost 39¢ at the lock; the edge below uses that price.
- Our AI's estimate: 46%. Price: 39¢ plus about 1.7¢ Kalshi fee. Edge: +5.3 points. Each $1 contract costs about 40.7¢ and pays 59.3¢ profit if right. The estimate is our AI's, not a proven chance.
Stats at publication
- Odds at lock
- +140 · DraftKings
- Market-implied at lock
- 40%
- Kalshi price at lock
- 39¢
- Our AI's estimate
- 46%
- Edge after Kalshi fee
- +5.3 pts
- Books compared
- 1
Recorded times (Central)
- Picked by our desk
- Locked (saved for good)
- First on this site
- Price as of