Chicago Bulls ML
Washington Wizards @ Chicago Bulls
Risk: Close call
- AI estimate
- 63%
- Market-implied at publication
- 50%
- Price at publication
- 52¢
- Odds at publication
- -110
- Edge after fee
- +9.3 pts
- Sport
- NBA
- Market
- Moneyline
- Market status at snapshot
- pending
- Event time
The Bulls are at home and only missing Claxton, while the Wizards are without Vukcevic, Watkins, and Dybantsa on the second night of a back-to-back.
Original analysis
- Our AI models' reason: The Bulls are at home and only missing Claxton, while the Wizards are without Vukcevic, Watkins, and Dybantsa on the second night of a back-to-back.
- Chosen by our AI models at the 8 AM lock, from the sportsbook odds, ESPN's injury report and team records.
- Chicago Bulls: 1-1; Washington Wizards: 1-1.
- Removing the bookmaker's cut, the consensus puts Chicago Bulls's chance near 50%. That is the market's price.
- On Kalshi, Chicago Bulls's contract cost 52¢ at the lock; the edge below uses that price.
- Our AI's estimate: 63%. Price: 52¢ plus about 1.8¢ Kalshi fee. Edge: +9.3 points. Each $1 contract costs about 53.8¢ and pays 46.3¢ profit if right. The estimate is our AI's, not a proven chance.
Stats at publication
- Odds at lock
- -110 · DraftKings
- Market-implied at lock
- 50%
- Kalshi price at lock
- 52¢
- Our AI's estimate
- 63%
- Edge after Kalshi fee
- +9.3 pts
- Books compared
- 1
Recorded times (Central)
- Picked by our desk
- Not recorded
- Locked (saved for good)
- Not recorded
- First on this site
- Not recorded
- Price as of
- Not recorded