Historical publication record. Prices and explanations are as recorded at the times below.

No: 72° or below

Highest temperature in Houston on Nov 10, 2026?

Our AI’s read of the research, shared for fun. The market’s price is usually close to the real chance, so don’t expect them to beat it. It’s still gambling, and every pick can lose.

Risk: Market favorite

Market-implied at publication
80%
Price at publication
80¢
Category
WEATHER
Ticker
KXHIGHTHOU-26NOV10-T73
Side
No
Market status at snapshot
active
Market closes

The National Weather Service expects a high near 76°F, so Houston is more likely to stay above 72°F than reach 72°F or below.

Original analysis

  1. Chosen by our AI models at the 8 AM lock, from Kalshi's live prices and the National Weather Service forecast.
  2. NWS point forecast near Houston Hobby: high 76°F. Source: https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/HGX/66,89/forecast.
  3. A Kalshi contract pays $1 if right. We recorded a 80¢ entry quote at publication, a market-implied reference of about 80%. That is the market's price.
  4. Forecast-aligned: this agrees with the National Weather Service point forecast. Kalshi traders see the same forecast, so this is not a separately measured edge, and a daily high can miss a two-degree bucket by a single degree.

Stats at publication

Entry quote at lock
No 80¢
Market-implied at lock
80%
24h volume
1,898
Outcomes
2

Recorded times (Central)

Picked by our desk
Locked (saved for good)
First on this site
Price as of

Market on Kalshi

For entertainment only, 18+. No guaranteed outcomes. Market-implied chances come from the price and aren't proven; every pick can lose. Prices and market status below are historical snapshots, never live quotes.