No: 55° or above
Lowest temperature in Dallas on Nov 9, 2026?
Our AI’s read of the research, shared for fun. The market’s price is usually close to the real chance, so don’t expect them to beat it. It’s still gambling, and every pick can lose.
Risk: Bold call
Bold call: our AI rates this pick more than 10 points higher than the market price. When the two disagree that much, the market is often right, so this pick carries extra risk. Run It Bet is entertainment; only use money you can afford to lose.
- Market-implied at publication
- 71%
- Price at publication
- 71¢
- Category
- WEATHER
- Ticker
- KXLOWTDAL-26NOV09-T54
- Side
- No
- Recorded outcome
- lost
- Market closes
The National Weather Service forecasts a low around 54°F in Dallas for tonight, which is below the 55° threshold.
Original analysis
- Chosen by our AI models at the 9:30 AM Texas lows check, from Kalshi's live prices and the National Weather Service forecast.
- NWS point forecast near Dallas/Fort Worth: overnight low 54°F. Source: https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/FWD/80,109/forecast.
- A Kalshi contract pays $1 if right. We recorded a 71¢ entry quote at publication, a market-implied reference of about 71%. That is the market's price.
- Forecast-aligned: this agrees with the National Weather Service point forecast. Kalshi traders see the same forecast, so this is not a separately measured edge, and a daily low can miss a two-degree bucket by a single degree.
Stats at publication
- Entry quote at lock
- No 71¢
- Market-implied at lock
- 71%
- 24h volume
- 0
- Outcomes
- 2
Recorded times (Central)
- Picked by our desk
- Locked (saved for good)
- First on this site
- Price as of